Pakistan Monsoon Rainfall 19.3% Below Normal

Key Developments:

• Pakistan records 19.3% monsoon rainfall deficit
• Sindh posts biggest shortfall, while GB exceeds normal rainfall

ISLAMABAD — October 01, 2026: Pakistan recorded below-average rainfall during this year's monsoon, with national precipitation falling 19.3 percent short of the normal level, according to data from the Pakistan Meteorological Department.

The country accumulated 120.5 millimetres of rainfall during the monsoon period, but the distribution varied considerably between regions. Sindh emerged as the province with the largest deficit, while Gilgit-Baltistan was the only region to register rainfall above its seasonal norm.

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Sindh received 71.1mm of rain, representing a 50.8 percent departure below its normal monsoon rainfall. Karachi experienced an even more substantial gap, with precipitation estimated at 92 percent below the usual level.

Balochistan also remained considerably drier than normal, recording a 33.7 percent rainfall deficit. Khyber Pakhtunkhwa registered a 16.3 percent shortfall, while Azad Jammu and Kashmir remained 18.4 percent below its normal rainfall.

Punjab's rainfall deficit was comparatively limited at 3.8 percent. In contrast, Gilgit-Baltistan recorded 4.6 percent more precipitation than its normal monsoon level.

The rainfall pattern follows an earlier seasonal outlook from the PMD that anticipated below-normal precipitation across much of South Asia. The department had identified the likely development of El Niño conditions as one of the factors that could influence the monsoon's strength and distribution.

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Climate experts have noted that El Niño can alter atmospheric circulation and affect rainfall patterns across South Asia. The phenomenon does not produce identical effects everywhere, meaning rainfall departures can differ substantially between regions within the same season.

The latest figures also highlight the uneven nature of Pakistan's monsoon rainfall. While some northern areas received rainfall at or above their seasonal benchmark, large parts of the country experienced a deficit, with Sindh facing the most pronounced provincial shortfall.

Climate experts have noted that El Niño can alter atmospheric circulation and affect rainfall patterns across South Asia.

The PMD's assessment comes after a season that included several significant rain spells in different parts of the country. Despite these episodes, the cumulative national rainfall remained below the normal benchmark.

The uneven distribution of precipitation remains significant for agriculture, water availability and regional weather planning, particularly in areas that recorded substantial rainfall deficits.

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